Climate Change and Flood Risk on Costa Branca

Authors

Maria Luíza de Oliveira Terto, Secretaria de Meio Ambiente e Urbanismo (SEMURB-RN); Marco Túlio Medonça Diniz, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN); Jucielho Pedro da Silva, Centro de Ensino Superior do Seridó (CERES); Thiago Cavalcante Lins Silva; José Yure Gomes dos Santos, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN); Paulo Victor do Nascimento Araújo, Instituto Federal de Educação, Ciência e Tecnologia do Rio Grande do Norte (IFRN)

Keywords:

Climate change, Floods – Risk assessment, Coastal areas – Environmental vulnerability

Synopsis

This book was designed to help understand, in a simple and objective way, what climate change is, how it can affect the northern coast of Rio Grande do Norte, and what risks may be present in our daily lives. Throughout the pages, we will explore some important concepts, understand why floods happen, which areas and people may be most exposed, and what we can do to reduce risks. Knowing the problem is the first step toward protecting oneself. Information, prevention, and community participation are essential to building safer places prepared to face the challenges of climate change.

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Author Biographies

Maria Luíza de Oliveira Terto, Secretaria de Meio Ambiente e Urbanismo (SEMURB-RN)

Holds a Ph.D. in Geography from the Graduate Program and Research in Geography at the Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte (PPGe/UFRN), with a Bachelor's degree (2016), a Teaching Licentiate (2019), and a Master's degree in Geography from the same institution (2021). She completed a sandwich Ph.D. period at the University of Minho, Portugal (2024–2025). She has experience in Physical Geography, Biogeography, Geomorphology, Geodiversity, and Geoconservation, with research focused on the quantitative assessment of Water Heritage. She also has experience in geoprocessing within environmental agencies such as IDEMA (Institute of Sustainable Economic Development and Environment of Rio Grande do Norte) and SEMURB (Municipal Secretariat of Environment and Urbanism of Natal) through academic internships.

Marco Túlio Medonça Diniz, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN)

Holds a Bachelor's and Teaching Degree in Geography from the State University of Ceará (2005), as well as a Master's degree (2008) and a Ph.D. (2013) in Geography from the same institution. Completed a Post-Doctorate in the Graduate Program in Geography at the Federal University of Sergipe (2018). Currently serves as Associate Professor at the Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN), CNPq Research Productivity Fellow, Editor-in-Chief of the Revista de Geociências do Nordeste, and leader of the Geoprocessing and Physical Geography Research Group and Laboratory (LAGGEF/UFRN). In October 2024, he began a visiting professor tenure in the Graduate Program in Regional Development at UEPB, and serves as a permanent faculty member in UFRN graduate programs in Caicó and Natal. He coordinated the National Symposium on Geomorphology (SINAGEO) in 2025 and was awarded Outstanding Researcher at UFRN (2020 Edition) in the Humanities, Social Sciences, Letters, and Arts category. He supervised the Master's dissertation that received honorable mention at the Aziz Nacib AbSáber Award (Physical Geography) at ENANPEGE 2023, and supervised the winner of the 2026 CAPES Thesis Award. Vice-President of the Brazilian Association of Physical Geography, elected for the 2024–2026 biennium. He is a member of the scientific committee of the Seridó UNESCO Global Geopark and a Counselor of the Brazilian Union of Geomorphology. He has experience in Geography, with an emphasis on Physical Geography, acting primarily on the following research topics: Coastal Geography, Geomorphology, Geodiversity, and Geoheritage.

Jucielho Pedro da Silva, Centro de Ensino Superior do Seridó (CERES)

Geographer (CREA registration no. 2116418321). Ph.D. student in the Graduate Program in Geography (PPGG) at UFPB (2025.1), holding a Master's degree in Geography from the Graduate Program in Geography - CERES (2021); a Bachelor's degree in Geography from the Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte - UFRN, CERES/Caicó (2016); and a Teaching Licentiate in Geography from the Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte - UFRN, CERES/Caicó (2023). Collaborative researcher at the Geoprocessing and Physical Geography Laboratory (LAGGEF), acting in the fields of Cartography, Geoprocessing and GIS, Remote Sensing, Topography, and Georeferencing. Professional background includes consulting services in geoprocessing within the areas of Basic Sanitation, Multipurpose Cadastre, Rural Environmental Registry (CAR), and thematic cartography. He also participated in the Voluntary Collaborative Professor Program (PPCV) at the Department of Geography of the Center for Higher Education of Seridó (CERES) from April 14, 2023, to July 9, 2025.

Thiago Cavalcante Lins Silva

Ph.D. in Geography from the Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN). Holds a Master's degree, a Teaching Licentiate, and a Bachelor's degree in Geography from the Federal University of Alagoas (UFAL). Acts in Physical Geography, with an emphasis on Coastal Geomorphology.

José Yure Gomes dos Santos, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN)

Holds a Bachelor's degree (2009) and a Teaching Licentiate (2010) in Geography from the Federal University of Paraíba (UFPB), a Master's degree (2011) in Urban and Environmental Engineering (concentration area in Environmental Sanitation) also from UFPB, and a Ph.D. (2015) in Civil Engineering (concentration area in Environmental Technology and Water Resources) from the Federal University of Pernambuco (UFPE). Currently serves as Associate Professor 1 at the Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN) and Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Geography at CERES/UFRN (GEOCERES). Reviewer for national and international journals in the fields of Geosciences and Water Resources, and Deputy Editor of the Revista de Geociências do Nordeste (REGNE). Member of the Brazilian Water Resources Association (ABRHidro) and the Brazilian Union of Geomorphology (UGB). Coordinator of the Northeast Regional Section of ABRHidro (2026–2027). Member of research groups at UFRN, UFPB, and UFOB, and Leader of the Research Group in Environmental Management and Modeling (GEMA) at UFRN. Acts in the fields of Geotechnologies, Water Resources, and Environmental Modeling.

Paulo Victor do Nascimento Araújo, Instituto Federal de Educação, Ciência e Tecnologia do Rio Grande do Norte (IFRN)

Holds a Bachelor's degree in Fisheries Engineering from the Federal Rural University of the Semi-Arid Region (UFERSA, 2011) and a Teaching Licentiate in Geography from the Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN, 2024). He is a specialist in Environmental Analysis and Geoprocessing, and holds a Master's degree (2014) and a Ph.D. (2020) in Geodynamics and Geophysics from UFRN. He completed post-doctoral research fellowships at the Instituto Superior Técnico of the University of Lisbon (IST/ULisboa), Portugal, between 2021 and 2022, and in the Graduate Program in Civil and Environmental Engineering at UFRN between 2024 and 2025. Between 2011 and 2012, he worked on the Brazil/Japan Tuna Project, carrying out activities related to satellite vessel tracking and the monitoring of tuna and related species fisheries in the Atlantic Ocean. During this period, he also served as an instructor for the Overseas Fishery Cooperation Foundation of Japan (OFCF). Since 2013, he has been a tenured professor at the Federal Institute of Education, Science and Technology of Rio Grande do Norte (IFRN), where he develops teaching, research, outreach, and innovation activities. He is a permanent faculty member in the Graduate Program in Sustainable Use of Natural Resources (PPgUSRN/IFRN). He has extensive experience in the design, fundraising, planning, coordination, execution, and management of institutional projects, including initiatives developed in partnership with public administration bodies, teaching and research institutions, support foundations, and other organizations. In the technical-scientific field, he primarily works on the application of geotechnologies to environmental planning, monitoring, and analysis, with an emphasis on: (i) geoprocessing; (ii) environmental modeling, especially flood risk analysis and modeling; (iii) generation, evaluation, and application of Digital Elevation Models; (iv) environmental mapping and monitoring using Remotely Piloted Aircraft (RPA); and (v) spatial monitoring of fishing activities. He is the leader of the Research Group in Environmental Analysis, Modeling, and Geoinformation (PAMGEIA/IFRN) and a member of the Society of Latin American Remote Sensing Specialists (SELPER).

Capa Mudanças Climáticas e Risco de Inundações na Costa Branca

Published

November 10, 2026